Celsius Network is bankrupt, so why is CEL price up 4,000% in two months?

Crypto lending platform Celsius Network has an approximately $1.2 billion gap in its balance sheet, with most liabilities owed to its users. In addition, the firm has filed for bankruptcy protection, so its future looks bleak.

Still, Celsius Network’s native utility token CEL has soared in valuation by over 4,100% in the last two months, reaching around $3.93 on Aug. 13 compared to its mid-June bottom of $0.093.

In comparison, top coins Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) rallied 40% and 130% in the same period.

What is Celsius?

Celsius (CEL)is a platform that allows users to trade currency against cryptocurrency and yield interest. The platform aims to disrupt the financial industry, provide curated services to the users, abandoned by the banks like equitable interest, zero fees, and quick transactions, and help users achieve financial independence through crypto. The platform seeks to develop a community of lenders and borrowers, replace Wall Street with blockchain, and provide benefits to the members of the ecosystem.

The platform believes that traditional financial institutes should not control the flow of credit to users across the globe. Hence, the platform utilizes a consensus-based, proof-of-stake mechanism that seeks to allow users to lend, vouch, or borrow from each other. Thus, the platform aims to create a self-governing solution for users involved in the credit ecosystem. The platform aims to allow users to borrow currency through a community pool by utilizing their crypto assets as collateral to achieve the aim. Also, the platform seeks to bring transparency of decentralized finance into the central company by sharing information with the community through the blockchain.

Takeover rumors behind CEL explosion?

Technically, the price rally made CEL an excessively valued token in early August when its relative strength index (RSI) crossed above the 70 threshold.

Takeover rumors appear to be behind CEL’s upside strength. Notably, Ripple wants to purchase Celsius Network’s assets, according to an anonymous source cited by Reuters on August 10.

CEL’s price more than doubled after the piece of news hit the wire.

In July, rumors also surfaced about Goldman Sachs’ intention to acquire Celsius Network for $2 billion. CEL was changing hands for as low as $0.39 around that time.

CEL price short squeeze

An army of retail traders also appears to be behind the CEL’s giant upside push in the last two months.

Some traders have organized a short squeeze to limit CEL’s downside prospects. A short squeeze is when an asset’s price rises suddenly, forcing short sellers to buy back the asset at a higher price to close their positions.

It is possible to create a short squeeze because of CEL’s lowering circulating supply, primarily due to the freeze on Celsius Network’s token transfers.

Interestingly, FTX had about 5.1 million CEL tokens on Aug. 13, approximately 90% of all the total circulation across exchanges. Meanwhile, the amount of open short positions on the exchange was around 2.66 million CEL versus the monthly high of 2.96 million CEL on August 11. In other words, short traders have closed about 300,000 CEL positions in just two days.

What’s next for the Celsius token?

Short squeezes are hard to sustain over a long period, history shows.

Such prospects put CEL at risk of facing extreme correction in the coming weeks or months. As said, the token is already overbought, which further adds up to the downside outlook. Conversely, a break below the support level at the 0.5 Fib line (~$3.48) risks crashing CEL toward $2.75, down 25% from the current price level.